Indonesian Awakening: No South China Sea Negotiation with China

Indonesian Awakening: No South China Sea Negotiation with China

By Nguyen Hong Thao
June 26, 2020
Any country that does not make a drastic response to the Chinese claims right from the start, will one day become a victim.
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U.S. joins the battle of South China Sea diplomatic notes

U.S. joins the battle of South China Sea diplomatic notes

By Nguyen Hong Thao
June 10, 2020
The US communication added a voice to the common position of Vietnam, Malaysia, Philippines and Indonesia on consideration of UNCLOS as the sole legal basis for defining, in a comprehensive and exhaustive manner, the scope of their respective maritime entitlements in ...
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Vietnam’s increasing Naval Diplomacy and future Possibilities

Vietnam’s increasing Naval Diplomacy and future Possibilities

By Tomas Jevsejevas
September 22, 2020
Vietnam is advancing Naval Diplomacy, and it could do much more.
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Concert of Indo-Pacific: An Option for Peace and Order in the East Asian Seas

Concert of Indo-Pacific: An Option for Peace and Order in the East Asian Seas

By Thuc D. Pham
May 6, 2020
Suggestions for lasting peace in the South China Sea and beyond need to incorporate small and medium states as well.
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The “Four-Sha” Claim:  Signalling a Post Covid-19 Global Order

The “Four-Sha” Claim: Signalling a Post Covid-19 Global Order

By Nguyen Thi Lan Anh
April 29, 2020
"Four-Sha" is a lens through which Chinese long-term ambitious claims over the South China Sea is fully exposed.  The current global health crisis provides a window of opportunity for the realisation of Chinese lofty hegemonic dream. While the international community may ...
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Extended Continental Shelf: A Renewed South China Sea Competition

Extended Continental Shelf: A Renewed South China Sea Competition

By Nguyen Hong Thao
April 19, 2020
The 2019 Malaysian partial CLCS submission renewed the legal exchanges over the South China Sea. Most of the claimants, except China and Brunei, through their statements and actions, expressed acceptance and support for the 2016 Tribunal Award.   
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A Short History of China’s Fishing Militia  and What it May Tell Us

A Short History of China’s Fishing Militia and What it May Tell Us

By Derek Grossman and Logan Ma
April 6, 2020
If history is a good indication of what to expect in the future, then Beijing is likely to double down on the Maritime Militia in virtually any scenario imaginable. That means it should be a force to be reckoned in the ...
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Did Vietnam’s Maritime Militia Really Swarm a China Military Base

Did Vietnam’s Maritime Militia Really Swarm a China Military Base

By Do Thanh Hai
March 18, 2020
Though recent allegations raise more questions than they provide answers, they should reinforce the need for greater transparency in the South China Sea.
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China's Maritime Militia: A Legal Point of View

China's Maritime Militia: A Legal Point of View

By Koki Sato
March 12, 2020
The international community should better understand how potential aggressors can leverage the ambiguity for low-level armed attack or aggression and be prepared to clearly identify it as an internationally wrongful act.
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Philippine Fulcrum

Philippine Fulcrum

By Aaron Kelly, Michael Tkacik
January 23, 2020
To strengthen its position in the Philippines and thus in the first island chain, the United States must achieve two key goals: diversify its diplomatic engagement with Manila and coordinate military resources and strategy.
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Scarborough Shoal: Debunking Historical Myths

Scarborough Shoal: Debunking Historical Myths

By Ulises Granados
December 22, 2019
As it might be difficult for China and the Philippines to defend their official claims over Scarborough as their own territory before the 20th century in an international court, both countries should engage in constructive negotiations over joint development. This is ...
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Malaysia’s New Game in the South China Sea

Malaysia’s New Game in the South China Sea

By Nguyen Hong Thao
December 21, 2019
The submission by Malaysia represents a positive step forward for coastal states in the SCS to clarify their claims and seriously discuss maritime delimitation in accordance with UNCLOS and the interpretation of its article 121 (3) by the 2016 Tribunal Award.
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Vietnam confronts China in the South China Sea

Vietnam confronts China in the South China Sea

By Do Thanh Hai
December 6, 2019
As Vietnam stands its ground and attests to the legitimacy of its claims in public, the ball is in Beijing’s court to decide whether China wants to be a responsible emerging power.
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Nightmare Scenario in the South China Sea: Japan’s Perspective

Nightmare Scenario in the South China Sea: Japan’s Perspective

By Satoru Nagao
September 12, 2019
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe worried that the South China Sea might become a ‘Lake Beijing,’ ... a sea deep enough for PLA navy to base their nuclear-powered attack submarines, capable of launching missiles with nuclear warheads. 
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Why Vanguard Bank and Why Now?  Explaining Chinese Behavior in the South China Sea

Why Vanguard Bank and Why Now? Explaining Chinese Behavior in the South China Sea

By Derek Grossman
August 16, 2019
Beijing may be probing the durability of deepening U.S.-Vietnam military-to-military relations. Vietnam has harbored serious questions about the sustainability of U.S. security commitments to allies, let alone what a “free and open” Indo-Pacific Strategy means for U.S. partners. China’s seizure of ...
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Coercive tactics: China, Turkey and International Law

Coercive tactics: China, Turkey and International Law

By Constantinos Yiallourides
August 9, 2019
Energy exploration by China and Turkey within the national waters of other nations is contrary to international law – it is upon the international community to steer recalcitrant states towards obedience.  
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The South China Sea Arbitral Award: Not ‘Just a Piece of Paper’

The South China Sea Arbitral Award: Not ‘Just a Piece of Paper’

By Lan Nguyen
August 7, 2019
As long as the claimant states continue to stand up to China’s excessive claims and defend their legitimate claims endorsed by the arbitral award, and as long as other states around the world do not turn a blind eye to the ...
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The ASEAN’s Achilles Heel: Institutional Deficit and Leadership Vacuum Amid China’s South China Sea Aggression

The ASEAN’s Achilles Heel: Institutional Deficit and Leadership Vacuum Amid China’s South China Sea Aggression

By Richard Javad Heydarian
August 2, 2019
ASEAN, long billed as the most successful model of regional integration in the post-colonial world, has become increasingly powerless in constraining Beijing’s emaciation of a regional rules-based order driven by principles of non-aggression, conflict-avoidance, and liberal multilateralism. 
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China’s Misstep in the South China Sea

China’s Misstep in the South China Sea

By Luc Anh Tuan
July 24, 2019
While China can gain some ground in short term by flexing its muscle, it would risk greater backlash from its neighbors and collective actions from the international community in the long run. China should not interpret regional countries’ patience and restraint ...
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Gray Zone Challenges in the East and South China Sea

Gray Zone Challenges in the East and South China Sea

By Lyle J. Morris
January 7, 2019
Gray zone tactics have fundamentally changed the operational environment in which the United States and Asian maritime countries operate. Yet these countries remain in the early stages of developing approaches that will better enable them to credibly deter Chinese coercion.
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The EU's interest and policy towards  East Asia maritime security

The EU's interest and policy towards East Asia maritime security

By Alfred Gerstl
October 26, 2018
The EU is better suited to pursue its interests East Asia through the promotion of multilateral ocean governance and concrete collaboration measures.
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Crossing the Rubicon: Duterte, China  and Resource-Sharing in the South China Sea

Crossing the Rubicon: Duterte, China and Resource-Sharing in the South China Sea

By Richard Javad Heydarian
October 23, 2018
The only way for a Joint Development Agreement to push through is that Duterte would manage to amend the Philippine constitution, largely ignore his country’s arbitration award victory, and overcome deep-seated public antipathy towards resource-sharing agreements with China.  
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Hyper-nationalism is not the future

Hyper-nationalism is not the future

By Hoang Do
October 4, 2018
There is no easy solution to the territorial dispute in the South China Sea, but boosting nationalism to the point of extremeness is not the answer.
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New Mahathir Administration's South China Sea Policy

New Mahathir Administration's South China Sea Policy

By Sumathy Permal
October 3, 2018
Malaysia’s approach on South China Sea under Mahathir may provide additional gain for ASEAN collectively, now that Malaysia can provide a strong voice in dealing with China on pushing for a legally binding COC.
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A Japanese Perspective of South China Sea Order

A Japanese Perspective of South China Sea Order

By Hideshi Tokuchi
August 22, 2018
East Asia is a huge seascape. As a result, the sea’s connecting power is of a priceless importance to the entire region. The rules-based international maritime order is in everyone’s interest, including Japan.
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The South China Sea Conundrum

The South China Sea Conundrum

By Euan Graham
April 2, 2018
The South China Sea is not nearing resolution, nor has it been “lost”. Instead, the “conundrum” is moving into a different and more difficult phase. Although things appear calmer on the surface, the pace of strategic change is accelerating in an unfavourable ...
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U.S. Perspective on the South China Sea Order: Strategy Under the Trump Administration

U.S. Perspective on the South China Sea Order: Strategy Under the Trump Administration

By Colin Willet
March 22, 2018
While much of the day-to-day work of managing U.S. diplomatic, economic, and security interactions in Asia seems to have continued unchanged, this belies a very significant difference in the Trump Administration’s apparent view of how the United States should engage with ...
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An Effect of Trump and More:  The Emerging Retrenchment of China’s Strategic Posture

An Effect of Trump and More: The Emerging Retrenchment of China’s Strategic Posture

By Shi Yinhong
March 8, 2018
By concluding that The United States can better achieve its goals by flattering a Chinese leader, Trump seemed to signal a reversal of roles: The United States may now need China’s help more than the other way around. Undoubtedly, President Xi ...
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ASEAN and Its Partners for Good Order at Sea: Problems and Proposals

ASEAN and Its Partners for Good Order at Sea: Problems and Proposals

By Le Dinh Tinh
February 5, 2018
This paper argues that only on a rule-based order enforced by appropriate measures can ASEAN and its partners achieve a peaceful and secure maritime environment that benefits all. To ensure safety and security amid the shifting balance of power and mounting ...
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Duterte’s Evolving South China Sea Policy

Duterte’s Evolving South China Sea Policy

By Aileen S.P. Baviera
January 25, 2018
Philippine policy on the South China Sea under Duterte is clearly still evolving, and efforts to seek a correct balance between a principled nationalist stand and more pragmatic objectives are bound to encounter many tests.
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