Why Vanguard Bank and Why Now?  Explaining Chinese Behavior in the South China Sea

Why Vanguard Bank and Why Now? Explaining Chinese Behavior in the South China Sea

By Derek Grossman
August 16, 2019
Beijing may be probing the durability of deepening U.S.-Vietnam military-to-military relations. Vietnam has harbored serious questions about the sustainability of U.S. security commitments to allies, let alone what a “free and open” Indo-Pacific Strategy means for U.S. partners. China’s seizure of Scarborough Shoal from the Philippines—a U.S. treaty ally—in 2012 is the classic example cited that fuels Hanoi’s speculation about whether ...
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Coercive tactics: China, Turkey and International Law

Coercive tactics: China, Turkey and International Law

By Constantinos Yiallourides
August 9, 2019
Energy exploration by China and Turkey within the national waters of other nations is contrary to international law – it is upon the international community to steer recalcitrant states towards obedience.  
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The South China Sea Arbitral Award: Not ‘Just a Piece of Paper’

The South China Sea Arbitral Award: Not ‘Just a Piece of Paper’

By Lan Nguyen
August 7, 2019
As long as the claimant states continue to stand up to China’s excessive claims and defend their legitimate claims endorsed by the arbitral award, and as long as other states around the world do not turn a blind eye to the ...
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The ASEAN’s Achilles Heel: Institutional Deficit and Leadership Vacuum Amid China’s South China Sea Aggression

The ASEAN’s Achilles Heel: Institutional Deficit and Leadership Vacuum Amid China’s South China Sea Aggression

By Richard Javad Heydarian
August 2, 2019
ASEAN, long billed as the most successful model of regional integration in the post-colonial world, has become increasingly powerless in constraining Beijing’s emaciation of a regional rules-based order driven by principles of non-aggression, conflict-avoidance, and liberal multilateralism. 
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China’s Misstep in the South China Sea

China’s Misstep in the South China Sea

By Luc Anh Tuan
July 24, 2019
While China can gain some ground in short term by flexing its muscle, it would risk greater backlash from its neighbors and collective actions from the international community in the long run. China should not interpret regional countries’ patience and restraint ...
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Gray Zone Challenges in the East and South China Sea

Gray Zone Challenges in the East and South China Sea

By Lyle J. Morris
January 7, 2019
Gray zone tactics have fundamentally changed the operational environment in which the United States and Asian maritime countries operate. Yet these countries remain in the early stages of developing approaches that will better enable them to credibly deter Chinese coercion.
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The EU's interest and policy towards  East Asia maritime security

The EU's interest and policy towards East Asia maritime security

By Alfred Gerstl
October 26, 2018
The EU is better suited to pursue its interests East Asia through the promotion of multilateral ocean governance and concrete collaboration measures.
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Crossing the Rubicon: Duterte, China  and Resource-Sharing in the South China Sea

Crossing the Rubicon: Duterte, China and Resource-Sharing in the South China Sea

By Richard Javad Heydarian
October 23, 2018
The only way for a Joint Development Agreement to push through is that Duterte would manage to amend the Philippine constitution, largely ignore his country’s arbitration award victory, and overcome deep-seated public antipathy towards resource-sharing agreements with China.  
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Hyper-nationalism is not the future

Hyper-nationalism is not the future

By Hoang Do
October 4, 2018
There is no easy solution to the territorial dispute in the South China Sea, but boosting nationalism to the point of extremeness is not the answer.
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New Mahathir Administration's South China Sea Policy

New Mahathir Administration's South China Sea Policy

By Sumathy Permal
October 3, 2018
Malaysia’s approach on South China Sea under Mahathir may provide additional gain for ASEAN collectively, now that Malaysia can provide a strong voice in dealing with China on pushing for a legally binding COC.
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A Japanese Perspective of South China Sea Order

A Japanese Perspective of South China Sea Order

By Hideshi Tokuchi
August 22, 2018
East Asia is a huge seascape. As a result, the sea’s connecting power is of a priceless importance to the entire region. The rules-based international maritime order is in everyone’s interest, including Japan.
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The South China Sea Conundrum

The South China Sea Conundrum

By Euan Graham
April 2, 2018
The South China Sea is not nearing resolution, nor has it been “lost”. Instead, the “conundrum” is moving into a different and more difficult phase. Although things appear calmer on the surface, the pace of strategic change is accelerating in an unfavourable ...
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U.S. Perspective on the South China Sea Order: Strategy Under the Trump Administration

U.S. Perspective on the South China Sea Order: Strategy Under the Trump Administration

By Colin Willet
March 22, 2018
While much of the day-to-day work of managing U.S. diplomatic, economic, and security interactions in Asia seems to have continued unchanged, this belies a very significant difference in the Trump Administration’s apparent view of how the United States should engage with ...
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An Effect of Trump and More:  The Emerging Retrenchment of China’s Strategic Posture

An Effect of Trump and More: The Emerging Retrenchment of China’s Strategic Posture

By Shi Yinhong
March 8, 2018
By concluding that The United States can better achieve its goals by flattering a Chinese leader, Trump seemed to signal a reversal of roles: The United States may now need China’s help more than the other way around. Undoubtedly, President Xi ...
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ASEAN and Its Partners for Good Order at Sea: Problems and Proposals

ASEAN and Its Partners for Good Order at Sea: Problems and Proposals

By Le Dinh Tinh
February 5, 2018
This paper argues that only on a rule-based order enforced by appropriate measures can ASEAN and its partners achieve a peaceful and secure maritime environment that benefits all. To ensure safety and security amid the shifting balance of power and mounting ...
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Duterte’s Evolving South China Sea Policy

Duterte’s Evolving South China Sea Policy

By Aileen S.P. Baviera
January 25, 2018
Philippine policy on the South China Sea under Duterte is clearly still evolving, and efforts to seek a correct balance between a principled nationalist stand and more pragmatic objectives are bound to encounter many tests.
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US’ competitive policy needed in South China Sea (Book Review)

US’ competitive policy needed in South China Sea (Book Review)

By Nguyen Thuy Anh
September 21, 2017
Robert Haddick’s “Fire on the Water: China, America and the Future of the Pacific” gives readers in-depth knowledge of the present strategic landscape in the Asia-Pacific and the dilemma that the status quo superpower is facing over there.   
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A South China Sea Code of Conduct: A hopeful reality or a hopeless falsity?

A South China Sea Code of Conduct: A hopeful reality or a hopeless falsity?

July 28, 2017
The Maritime Issues conducts a conversation with Southeast Asia-based experts on issues related to a Code of Conduct (COC) for the South China Sea.
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ASEAN’S Long March to a Code of Conduct in the South China Sea

ASEAN’S Long March to a Code of Conduct in the South China Sea

By Carlyle A. Thayer
July 18, 2017
If the past is prologue, China’s disregard for the Award and its continual militarization of its features in the South China Sea means that ASEAN’s Long March for a COC will remain a protracted one.
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Shangri-La Dialogue 2017: the South China Sea and the end of a Rules-Based Order?

Shangri-La Dialogue 2017: the South China Sea and the end of a Rules-Based Order?

By Christopher Roberts & Luc Anh Tuan
July 11, 2017
A key focal point of discussions at the June 2017 Shangri-La Dialogue (Security Summit) in Singapore was China and its actions in the South China Sea. Both the opening keynote address and the first two plenary sessions implicitly and/or explicitly responded ...
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The East China Sea: Chinese Efforts to Establish a “New Normal” and Prospects for Peaceful Management

The East China Sea: Chinese Efforts to Establish a “New Normal” and Prospects for Peaceful Management

By Tetsuo Kotani
July 8, 2017
As the world turns its attention from Chinese militarization of the South China Sea islets to North Korean nuclear and missile provocations, China is making every effort to establish a “new normal” in the East China Sea with more frequent military ...
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China’s ‘New Thinking’ of the East China Sea Dispute

China’s ‘New Thinking’ of the East China Sea Dispute

By Jian Zhang
July 7, 2017
Recent developments in the East China Sea foreshadow a long-term trend of confrontation between the two great Asian powers which, if not properly managed, could upset regional stability in a catastrophic manner.
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The South China Sea after the Arbitral Tribunal

The South China Sea after the Arbitral Tribunal

By Leszek Buszynski
June 26, 2017
Without law to support its position, Beijing would resort to power to demonstrate control over the South China Sea, not only to exclude external powers such as the US but to intimidate the ASEAN claimants into an acknowledgement of Chinese sovereignty. 
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The South China Sea and China-US Relations: Beijing’s Perspective

The South China Sea and China-US Relations: Beijing’s Perspective

By Jian Zhang
January 19, 2017
Over the last few years the South China Sea (SCS) dispute has become a chief point of friction between Beijing and Washington, causing widespread apprehensions of an emerging Sino–US rivalry that could unsettle the long peace and stability that the region ...
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Prepare for a Stormy 2017 in the South China Sea

Prepare for a Stormy 2017 in the South China Sea

By Gregory Poling
January 17, 2017
The desire to see Chinese diplomatic softening as a sign of a new status quo is understandable, and it is important that the door be left open for Beijing to deescalate. But China’s recent behavior should be seen as the best ...
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Middle Powers and  the South China Sea: Time to Step Up, or Step Out?

Middle Powers and the South China Sea: Time to Step Up, or Step Out?

By Andrew O’Neil
December 31, 2016
The decision in July 2016 by a special tribunal of the Permanent Court of Arbitration to dismiss the legitimacy of China’s expansive territorial claims in the South China Sea has raised significant questions about how this issue should be managed in ...
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National Interests and the Role of Major and Middle Powers in the South China Sea: Australia’s Cautiously Calibrated Approach

National Interests and the Role of Major and Middle Powers in the South China Sea: Australia’s Cautiously Calibrated Approach

By Euan Graham
December 31, 2016
However vocally supportive Canberra is of the United States in the South China Sea, in an operational sense Australia has held back since Washington began its current freedom of navigation operations (FONOPs), in October 2015, shortly after Malcolm Turnbull took over ...
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De-combatising the Spratly Disputes

De-combatising the Spratly Disputes

By You Ji
December 31, 2016
The possibility of standoffs among the Spratly disputants and especially between China and the US may have increased with the ruling of the Arbitral Tribunal on 12 July 2016. The award has invalidated Beijing’s basis for Spratly patrols based on the ...
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The ‘South Sea’ and ASEAN: Failing Unity amidst Beijing’s Duplicitous Diplomacy

The ‘South Sea’ and ASEAN: Failing Unity amidst Beijing’s Duplicitous Diplomacy

By Christopher B. Roberts
December 28, 2016
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has sought to address the challenges of the disputes in the South China Sea for close to a quarter of a century. This paper examines the circumstances and extent to which ASEAN has been ...
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Rebalancing: Vietnam’s South China Sea Challenges and Responses

Rebalancing: Vietnam’s South China Sea Challenges and Responses

By Tran Truong Thuy
December 27, 2016
The South China Sea persists as the leading security and development challenge for Vietnam. In Hanoi’s view, the situation in the South China Sea affects almost all aspects of national security and development: protecting territorial integrity and national sovereignty; promoting maritime economic ...
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